Evaluation of crescent formation as a predictive marker in immunoglobulin A nephropathy: a systematic review and meta-analysis

The 2009 Oxford Classification of immunoglobulin A (IgA) nephropathy (IgAN) identifies four histological features as predictors of renal prognosis: mesangial hypercellularity (M), endocapillary hypercellularity (E), segmental glomerulosclerosis (S), and tubular atrophy/interstitial fibrosis (T). However, the clinical and prognostic significance of crescent formation still remains controversial. Therefore, we performed a meta-analysis to evaluate the association between crescents and kidney outcome in IgAN. A total of 20 studies published from January 2009 to July 2016 involving 5,285 patients were included after systematic searches of PubMed and EMBASE databases. Pooled results showed that crescent lesions were associated with kidney failure (HR, 1.93; 95% CI, 1.49-2.50; P < 0.001). IgAN patients with crescents had lower eGFR levels (SMD, -0.21; 95% CI, -0.40--0.03; P = 0.023); higher proteinuria levels (SMD, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.11-1.63; P = 0.024); a larger number of patients with M1 (RR, 1.22; 95% CI, 1.07-1.40; P = 0.003), E1 (RR, 4.83; 95% CI, 3.04-7.66;P < 0.001), S1 (RR, 1.76; 95% CI, 1.11-2.80; P = 0.016) and T1/2 (RR, 2.74; 95% CI, 2.10-3.57; P < 0.001) lesions; and received immunosuppressive therapy more frequently (RD, 0.17; 95% CI, 0.11-0.23; P < 0.001). Our results suggest that crescent formation represents an efficient prognostic factor associated with progression to kidney failure and thus could be considered into the new Oxford Classification.